Saturday, April 23, 2016

Why You Should Care About the Connecticut Primaries

This is part one of a five-part series detailing the primaries next Tuesday.

The Connecticut primary is probably Bernie Sanders' best chance to avoid a total blowout. If he could come close or even win Connecticut, it wouldn't be an absolute disaster. That said, Hillary would like to capitalize on the diverse electorate and remains the likely favorite. It is also possible that Bernie could narrow his deficit and turn it into likely the most interesting primary this Tuesday.

Trump is heavily favored here, with Kasich favored for second. Because of the delegate allocation, Kasich will pick up a few delegates from the at-large pile, and possibly win one congressional district. Cruz's best hope is to get some at-large delegates, as those are allocated completely proportionally. However, there are only 10 (or 13, it's unclear) of these, so the districts will be the larger prize, but also fairly uncompetitive.

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