Sunday, April 24, 2016

Why You Should Care About the Maryland Primaries

This is part two of a series detailing the five primaries this Tuesday. Now, we are brought to Maryland.


This is likely to be a huge landslide, as the primary electorate is 37% African-American (2008 exit poll data). Hillary should near 70% no doubt. I can't see it being any closer than, say, 59-41, but even that would be an outlier.


Here is where it gets interesting: Maryland is Kasich's best hope to compete. It is winner-take-all statewide and by congressional district, however, so a close second for Kasich will still get him zilch. With bases of support for both Cruz and Kasich, this could be one of Trump's weakest states. Despite this, he may still walk away with all 38 delegates.

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