Showing posts with label Gabon. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Gabon. Show all posts

Sunday, September 18, 2016

Week 39: "Laughingstock Rag" (September 18, 2016)

Dear Readers,

The great chaos that is the 2016 election season keeps hurtling at us, and I’ll help you make sense of it all. Remember, all newsletters (and more) are available at www.electreport.blogspot.com
Days until General Election: 51
Days until 1st Debate: 8

Trump Contradicts 5 Years of Rhetoric, Concedes that Obama Was Born In America

After saying - nay, screaming - the opposite for five years, and pledging $5,000,000 to anyone who could convince him, Trump has finally admitted Obama was born in America. Birtherism, insane as it may be, was what first made Trump a hero of the right and, especially, the alt-right. It’s nothing new for Trump to double back on a position he’s held for a long time, but the way he did this was particularly awful. He started the event an hour late, had thirty minutes of military endorsements, and then said three sentences. All in all, he got almost two hours of coverage for one statement, which contradicted a basic tenet of his campaign..

A Week In Trump Tweets

“Never met but never liked dopey Robert Gates. Look at the mess the U.S. is in. Always speaks badly of his many bosses, including Obama.”

“The failing @nytimes has gone nuts that Crooked Hillary is doing so badly. They are willing to say anything, has become a laughingstock rag! My lawyers want to sue the failing @nytimes so badly for irresponsible intent. I said no (for now), but they are watching. Really disgusting”

“Wacky @NYTimesDowd, who hardly knows me, makes up things that I never said for her boring interviews and column. A neurotic dope!”

“I was never a fan of Colin Powell after his weak understanding of weapons of mass destruction in Iraq = disaster. We can do much better!”

Reince Priebus Attempts to Circumvent Rules...

In order to heal his party, he threatened all 2016 contenders not supporting Trump by saying that if they ran again, they’d have trouble making it on the ballot in South Carolina. Priebus said on Face the Nation: “People in our party are talking about what we’re going to do about this. I mean there’s a ballot access issue in South Carolina. In order to be on the ballot in South Carolina, you actually have to pledge your support to the nominee, no matter who that person is. So what’s the penalty for that? It’s not a threat, but that’s just the question that we have a process in place.”

Senate Preview #9
PENNSYLVANIA:

Pat Toomey’s days in the Senate seem numbered. The incumbent is in one of the closest races in the country, against Katie McGinty, former Secretary of the EPA in Pennsylvania, McGinty defeated 2010 nominee Joe Sestak in the primary, and while polls generally show her leading Toomey, the race is volatile,

Rating: Tilt D

SOUTH CAROLINA:

This is one of the most boring races. Tim Scott, a popular incumbent, should easily secure re-election against pastor Thomas Dixon, who has no Wikipedia page, and is not competitive. Scott should win this seat by at least 25 points,

Rating: Safe R

SOUTH DAKOTA:

Long-time Senator John Thune could fall asleep for 6 months and still win this election. Thune faces important Yankton County Democrat Jay Williams, who ran unopposed for the nomination. Nobody else will even be on the ballot,

Rating: Safe R

This Week In World Elections

Croatia: Andrej Plenkovic’s HDZ won a plurality of seats, and should be able to form a coalition. Zoran Milosevic withdrew from politics following the loss. The HDZ won by 2.5%, and won 6 of the 10 regions.

Belarus: 93 pro-government “Independents” were elected, followed by 8 Communists, and 8 from other parties. The second-highest vote-getter was none of the above. More proof that the elections are fairly corrupt.

Russia: The State Duma, the lower house of the Russian Assembly, hold an election today. The ruling United Russia party should win easily, which makes sense, since the elections are very not democratic and there have been calls for a boycott.

Thanks for reading! As usual, comments are welcome!

Sunday, September 4, 2016

Week 37: "The Taco-pocalypse is Coming!" (September 4, 2016)

Dear Readers,

The great chaos that is the 2016 election season keeps hurtling at us, and I’ll help you make sense of it all. Remember, all newsletters (and more) are available at www.electreport.blogspot.com
Days until General Election: 65

Trump Goes to Mexico; Chaos Ensues

Donald Trump decided to visit Mexico this week. There, he visited president Enrique Peña Nieto. As you can imagine, it was not very friendly. Trump claimed the wall was discussed, but not who would pay. Peña Nieto insists that they did discuss it, and he maintained Mexico would not pay. Trump’s campaign, of course, relented, and moved on to...

Trump Goes to Arizona; Chaos Ensues

... Trump’s speech in Phoenix, immediately following his Mexico trip. His willingness to go down to Mexico and speak, humanely, to their president, means that his speech was all about working together, right? Of course not! Trump’s top surrogates, Rudy Giuliani and Jeff Sessions showed up to the rally to introduce him in “MAKE MEXICO GREAT AGAIN ALSO” hats, a grammatically awkward slogan Trump came up with himself. Trump then spent over an hour railing at illegal immigrants and advocated punishing them. He also said government should be able to “pick and choose” what immigrants come into the country, which may be an acceptable policy for refugees, but for immigrants, no. Left with nothing to defend, the leader of Hispanics for Trump warned of the dangers of Mexican immigration: “There will be taco trucks on every corner!”

Trump Goes to Detroit; Chaos Ensues

Trump turned to outreach to African-Americans next, by going to Detroit, and, among other things, visiting the childhood home of Ben Carson (whose attention span was well documented here). Trump also visited a black church, and received a Jewish prayer shawl, for some reason. In all fairness, he made a legitimately uplifting speech that outlined why African-Americans should vote for him. I guess he’d had enough of alienating minority voters for the week. Oh, and there were a ton of protesters.

Hillary Clinton Releases Her Plan to Stop Drug Pricing Hikes

During all this, Clinton responded to the huge increase in the price of EpiPen by creating a plan to stop drug price increases. This issue first made news when Martin Shkreli, noted Trump endorser, increased the price of an anti-parasite drug by dozens of times its original price. Clinton plans to set up a government team to monitor prices in order to protect consumers, which was not very popular with Shkreli himself. Shkreli said “I think important medicines should be expensive because they’re valuable,” which means that he thinks a company’s profits are more valuable than people’s lives. I can’t say I’m surprised.

Labor Day Swing State Polling Update

Arizona: Trump +3.1
South Carolina: Trump +3
Iowa: Trump +1.4
Georgia: Trump +0.8
North Carolina: Clinton +1.6
Nevada: Clinton +1.9
Ohio: Clinton +2.8
Florida: Clinton +4.1
Wisconsin: Clinton +5.2
Pennsylvania: Clinton +6.4
Virginia: Clinton +7.3
New Hampshire: Clinton +8.6
Colorado: Clinton +9.7

Electoral Vote Count: 341-197

Senate Preview #8
NEW YORK:

Senator Chuck Schumer, three-term incumbent and a beloved figure in New York and within the Democratic party, has minimal opposition. Republican nominee Wendy Long has continually polled in the low 20s, and Schumer should hit 70% come November,

Rating: Safe D

NORTH CAROLINA:

Richard Burr may be running for a third term in office, but he doesn’t have it easy. He was challenged in his primary by a tea party activist who garnered 25% of the vote, and now in the general Deborah Ross is running a strong campaign. In addition, pizza deliveryman Sean Haugh of the Libertarian Party, who got almost 4% of the vote in 2014, could do well.

Rating: Tilt R

NORTH DAKOTA:

Senator John Hoeven’s only opposition is State Rep. Eliot Glassheim, who is a 78-year-old used book salesman and has no photo on his Wikipedia page. North Dakota is so small, uncompetitive, and hard to poll that we haven’t seen a poll here yet.

Rating; Safe R

Seat Count:
45-43

This Week In World Elections

Hong Kong: Today, the controversial Hong Kong election was held. Results are not yet known, but Hong Kong’s complex system involves many, many parties, some of which were disqualified by the government, and different types of constituencies and proportional representation. This is the polling graph.

Gabon: Results have been counted, and Ondimba defeated Ping by 1.5%. Ping claimed fraud, which seems silly until you realize that “the official results from Haut-Ogooue (the Bongo family's native province) showed Bongo receiving 95.5% of the vote on a 99.9% turnout.” Convenient.

Seychelles: This week, Seychelles holds an assembly election. The election will be between the socialists, the People’s Party, and the liberals, the Seychelles National Party.

Thanks for reading! As usual, comments are welcome!