It has been an incredibly eventful week. For all past newsletters (and more), make sure to go to the blog at http://www.electreport.blogspot.com
Macron and Le Pen
So when we left off last week, the French election seemed to be very close, with Emmanuel Macron and Marine Le Pen holding onto a slight lead. They made good on that lead today, with Macron getting 24% and Le Pen 21%, beating Fillon and Melenchon, who each got between 19 and 20%. (Though Melenchon wound up falling back into fourth place.) Macron is up in the runoff polls by some 20%, and it would take a drastic shift for Le Pen to make this even relatively close, but we’ve seen it happen before.
Ossoff and Georgia
The GA-6 congressional special election’s first round was this week as well. He reached 48%, which didn’t prevent a runoff, but should put him in a strong position for said runoff (which will be in June). It’s better than what most expected, although an outright win would’ve definitely helped. Republicans now get to regroup and focus on one candidate, but Ossoff can now focus his attacks on Karen Handel, who has some suspicious business connections and has lost multiple important races in Georgia. The race is pretty much a tossup, at this point.
May Calls Snap Election
Facing the news of a 20-point lead in the polls, Theresa May’s Conservative Party got really excited and motioned for a new general election to be held on June 8, a move Labour (the minority party) were forced to support. The election should be easily won by the Conservatives, unless Jeremy Corbyn’s Labor do a very good job campaigning or a major geopolitical event happens. UKIP have tanked in the polls since the announcement, and should not be a factor in this election. It’s early yet, we’ll learn more about this race as it approaches.
Rep. Jason Chaffetz, Enemy of Many Democrats, To Resign
Jason Chaffetz, high-profile Republican representative from Utah, famous for leading a charge against Hillary Clinton’s email server, has announced that he will not seek re-election in 2018, and may not complete his term. He’s well known for being a hypocrite and an opportunist, and had been seen as likely to run for Senate or Governor. While he could theoretically still run for higher office after this, this potential resignation looks bad for him if he is to do that, and he had better have a convincing explanation.
Trump Gets Flustered over “100 Day” Mark
The hundredth day of Donald Trump’s presidency is approaching, and Trump is well aware of that fact. He’s repeatedly called out the media for unfairly representing his accomplishments so far, while having had a very unsuccessful ninety-plus days, having the healthcare bill fail, and with his cabinet still not fully confirmed. His approval rating is much lower than any other president’s has been at this point, and even William Henry Harrison had gotten some stuff done before dying on day 31. Media dishonesty or not, it hasn’t been a very strong hundred days - and Trump had said he’d get a lot done by now.
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